Tuesday, April 17, 2012

The Ogopogo: Ancient Whale or Whale of a Myth?

         In Lake Okanagan, British Colombia, Canada, the most commonly sighted cryptid of the world is reported to lurk, with possibly a thousand sightings to date, about half being in the last half century. OgoPogo crop.jpgLocals say between 3-6 good sightings (although 4-5 is more usual) each year are expected. No other cryptid, while unconfirmed, has ever been seen so regularly that the people in the area can actually expect a relatively large number of decent sightings. It is also quite well documented by the Native Americans, who gave it the name n'ha-a-itk, literally "lake demon" and feared it far beyond any other creature, legendary or otherwise. It was regarded as pure evil, often attacking canoes. To appease it, Indians crossing the lake in a storm would carry some sort of small animal they could toss into the lake in case the n'ha-a-itk attacked, to distract it. This tradition was carried on by European settlers, but one famous case from around 1850 says two horses swimming behind a boat crossing the lake were pulled under, and the owner only saved himself by cutting the rope between the horses and the boat and paddling away frantically. About twenty years earlier, settlers in the Power Creek area had become so afraid of the creature they set up patrols to protect from a n'ha-a-itk attack (I use the native name for accuracy and an earlier time period; but "Ogopogo" for familiarity and the twentieth and twenty-first centuries).
         There was a rash of sightings in 1925-26, including one time where people in thirty different cars parked on an overview of the lake saw a moving serpentine shape in the water, and, when questioned, all reports described it the same, with very minor differences. A girl and her horse saw a great black serpentine creature slide off some rocks and into the water of the lake. A young lady had a similar experience. But the monster seems to have gotten friendlier, as the horse snack was one of the last attacks reported. However, most sightings after 1930 have been scattered but regular, although it seems there have been many cases of misidentification, such as with boat wakes, strange waves, and feeding fish.
        The lake is quite interesting, as it is extremely similar to Loch Ness in Scotland, the maximum recorded depths being 761 and 754 feet (lake then loch), both were formed by violent convulsions of the earth, both have rivers connecting them to the sea, both have large conifer forests on their shores, they are at almost exactly the same latitude, and both contain almost exactly the same species of fish. And to top it off, of course, probably the two most famous lake monsters dwell in these lakes. But the cryptids are quite different; while Nessie is plesiosaur-like, the Ogopogo is serpentine.
         This brings me to the description of the animal: it is described as between 15 and 80 feet long, and always dark-colored, usually black, dark green or blue, or dark brown. It does not always move; sometimes it simply lies near the surface of the water like a crocodile, perhaps basking, or moving quickly through the water. The methods of movement, however, are confusing: it has been reported to undulate horizontally, like the aforementioned crocodile, or to not twist but be propelled by unseen fins. Those who got very close to the cryptid said it had small finlike limbs that were not visible from large distances. It is classified as a "many hump" sea monster, and is probably a piscivore.
         What the animal is, assuming it exists, is, to say the least, open to debate. A new, giant species of eel? Or a more aquatically adapted large crocodilian? Maybe a primitive whale such as Basilosaurus, a 50-foot predator? Or some ancient, ancient, crocodile-like amphibian? Maybe a huge jawless fish? Or unknown aquatic snake? Perhaps just a large, slender, freshwater shark? Why not just a big, serpentine bony fish? Maybe something like a gigantic otter? Or could this all be only weird waves?
         Well, the eel and jawless fish are unlikely, as neither normally actively hunt- they are both scavengers. The otter would come up to the surface much more, although several normal river otters in a line could give the impression of humps. The snake, crocodilian, and amphibian would probably have frozen to death, being coldblooded. The bony fish possibility is simply unlikely, as no bony fish, alive or fossil, has been discovered in that shape and that size or larger. The shark is possible, but simply not probable-few true freshwater sharks are alive today, and only a very ancient few (like the six-gilled shark and frill shark) have a similar shape.
         So the proto-whale is most probable. But what are the chances a prehistoric animal would have survived all the changes of the past 34 million years without changing itself? We know Basilosaurus did not go totally extinct with no descendants; rather, it evolved, it changed, into all of our modern-day whales. The end of the Eocene epoch, when Basilosaurus died out after six million years at the top of the food chain, saw dramatic rises in temperature that caused an extinction event. No Basilosaurus could have survived, but there are examples of animals who "degenerate" or "devolve", where they evolve into many new "more advanced" species, the normal format for evolution. However, they may evolve into a genus which is extremely similar to the ancestors of that line of evolution. It is similar to convergent evolution, as the animals evolve in different time periods but a very similar environment. Maybe this could happen with something like a pod of beaked whales that had wandered into the lake, perhaps via the Colombia River.
         Well, the chances are low of anything like that happening, but let's move on to more usual explanations and the described habits: strange waves, logs, otters, etc. Of the videos and photographs I have seen, most I doubt are an actual creature. Many seem to be just waves (caused by wind) or boat wakes, and at least one I can say was just a school of bait fish (minnows, chub, small trout) close to the surface. I saw a diagram which showed several river otters in a line in the water creating an appearance of humps and a head. A famous video made by a local car salesman apparently showed a beaver on the lake. Logs are another possibility: many reports describe the "Ogopogo" as floating near the surface and then submerging. This could be caused by a decomposing log on the bottom which is propelled to the surface by a sudden release of methane, and, once the gas runs out, sinks again. Otters could again account for this. Possibly, like in Loch Ness, seals enter the lake, which would explain a lot.
         But the predatory n'ha-a-itk sounds more like a bull shark, as the serpentine shape and attacks were never connected, and bull sharks have been known to travel up rivers, especially is pursuit of salmon. The Colombia River has the world's largest sockeye salmon run every four years, so there would be plenty of food. There would also be enough prey in the lake, so a shark could either be trapped or decide to stay. Possibly the shark(s) lasted several years but got too big, and so started to attack canoes, mistaking them for larger prey. Bull sharks are notorious for human attacks in freshwater. But maybe they have died off, which would explain the cessation of attacks.
         I don't really know what to make of this, but I believe there are many cases of mistaken identity and any large animals in the lake are already known by science, just not known to be in this particular lake. So, I conclude that the Ogopogo does not exist. Please argue in the comments below!

Tuesday, April 3, 2012

Mokélè-Mbembe: Surviving African Sauropod?


In the dense jungles of east Africa largely unexplored by Western science, mostly in the Republic of Congo, Gabon, and Cameroon, there are many myths of huge creatures known in the West as Mokélè-Mbembe ("one who stops the flow of rivers" in the Lingala language, although there are many more native names). All reports describe it as semiaquatic with a extremely long neck and massive barrel-shaped body, 

Mokele-mbembe

spending most of its time in rivers or lakes but coming out to feed on vegetation (it is described as totally herbivorous). Many think it is a surviving dinosaur, a sauropod. 

Sauropods ("lizard foot") were the largest animals ever to set foot on this planet. There are hundreds of described genera known today, but with very great similarity and difference. 

They were very similar to the description of the cryptid, but they also had a very long tail, which served as a counterweight and defensive weapon (used like a whip). They varied greatly, from 13-190 feet long (these are estimated measurements from poor fossil evidence, from Ohmdenosaurus and Amphicoelias, respectively) and possibly around 60 feet tall (Sauroposeidon, but known only from 4 neck vertebrae) and weighing in at maybe up to 220 tons. The largest land mammal alive today is the African savannah elephant, which is a comparatively measly 11 tons. These were very remarkable but stupid animals, the survival strategy being simple: being just too big to kill, but they couldn't really do more than the basic survival stuff. 

So could one of these behemoths really have survived? It doesn't seem very likely at all, yet there is a large amount of compelling evidence that such a creature really does exist. Basically, there are two big bodies of contradicting evidence on both sides. The mass extinction 65.5 mya (million years ago) apparently spared no non-avian dinosaur, as no fossils above the K-T boundary (Cretaceous-Teitary, in the fossil records higher is usually younger, but erosion may move fossils up or down) have been found without erosion interference. The event that caused the K-T mass extinction is likely not to have left any surviving non-avian dinosaurs. 

But nonetheless, there is evidence of a cryptid which is very similar to sauropods. It has a rounded three-clawed (definitely claws, not toenails) print about a yard in diameter, distinct from other large animals in the area. The only other semiaquatic large animal is the hippo, but it is certainly not a hippo- one common reported trait is that it is very territorial and kills hippos but does not eat them. It also attacks canoes that venture too close, again killing but not eating the crew- for this reason the locals fear it more than any other creature. But in some villages, it is not seen as a flesh and blood creature but a mystical spirit. 

Over 50 years, several reports collected by cryptozoologists from local people said the animal's favorite food was a kind of flowering liana. It lives in river bends, specifically natural caves, some quite deep. But the contradictory parts are here: on the first discovery of sauropods, scientists believed they spent much of their time in water, using their long necks like snorkels, but this has been refuted. Mokélè-Mbembe apparently does not have any spines, a common feature in sauropods. Believers argue that the creature could have evolved, which is more than likely. But the most confusing evidence and reports is simply that it exists. It is veritably impossible for it to have survived, and nothing closer in shape than a giraffe has been found in the fossil record, yet the evidence that it exists is still overwhelming. The head is still described as quite small, so it is not very smart, probably not even having enough intelligence to be territorial. However, the cryptid is reported to be very territorial, attacking and killing hippopotami on sight.

Adult hippopotami can make almost invincible adversaries for any predator on the planet, if healthy. A lion pride can't get wound it, a ten-foot shark couldn't even get its jaws around it, crocodiles avoid it, hyenas know to keep far away, elephants give it distance, and it is considered the most dangerous big animal in Africa. They are the third-largest land mammal (and terrestrial animal overall) in the world after elephants 

 

and white rhinos. They are extremely aggressive with huge canine teeth and a very powerful set of jaws to match. Males are on average around 3,700 lb., but occasionally reach around 9,300 lb. The bite force of an adult female was measured at around 1,800 lbf, and adult males probably have a much more powerful bite force. The canines grow up to 20 in. long. The body is usually 11-17 feet long. So the news that any creature can kill a hippo- and does regularly- is significant indeed. 

How is a sauropod-like creature supposed to kill hippos? Several dead hippos have been shown to Westerners as the work of Mokélè-Mbembe, so this is fairly good evidence that it does exist. The whiplike tail would do significant damage to a predatory theropod like Allosaurus, but probably not more than pain to the heavyset thick-skinned hippo. The teeth are in a tiny head and designed to strip plants, so it wouldn't actually bite anything. Scientists know sauropods could stand on their back legs. Their purpose was to fell trees (or, in the Jurassic period, giant ferns in the same niche) to get at the tasty ferns underneath. So if they reared up and crashed down, placing the front feet on the hippo, the sheer force from the animal's weight would crush the hippo's skull. Another possibility is that it uses its weight in a different way: it pins the hippo on the riverbed and waits to drown it. This would not take too long, as hippopotami need to resurface for air every 3-5 minutes after submerging. But you'd think that this aggression would take intelligence, right? Well, it actually may have evolved an instinct for this, as modern hippopotami (and closely related extinct species) have been in Africa for around 15 million years. They would probably be in constant contact, living in the same environment. Another possibility is the aggression is on the hippo's side, and the Mokélè-Mbembe is defending itself, albeit quite effectively. But this doesn't seem very likely, as it attacks canoes, which could be mistaken for hippos. 

That's most of the data I can gather, but this cryptid is not a known species, if it exists: the description can only be compared to a crazy mix of various parts from various known animals: dimensions of a whale; neck, head, and some habits of perhaps a giraffe; body, limbs, and other habits of a hippo; and the tail of a Komodo dragon. It is almost impossible for a sauropod to have survived the mass extinction 65.5 mya, but the evidence is pretty convincing that it exists and it is a modern sauropod. So two large bodies of evidence have been built up, although both are a little unsure: one is 65.5 million years old, some of it much older, and the other is recent, but from an extremely remote region of Africa. What do you think? Give your opinion in the comments below.

Wednesday, March 21, 2012

Nessie: Supposed Plesiosaur of Loch Ness

An artist's depiction of a plesiosaur
Typical Nessie shape
Nessie. One of the most famous cryptids in the world, probably the most famous sea monster, rivaled only by the gigantic kraken. Thought to be enormous to seal-sized, this creature is supposedly an ancient survivor of the plesiosaurs, prehistoric large marine reptiles with extremely long necks, small heads with long teeth well adapted for catching fish, on a bulbous body with four horizontally flattened flippers, and sometimes a laterally flattened tail, with sizes ranging from 40 feet to about 8 feet, most of which is neck. This cryptid inhabits the gigantic Loch Ness, the fourth largest lake in the U.K., 48 kilometers (about 23 miles) long, and a maximum guaranteed recorded depth of 755 feet. It holds more water than all the lakes and ponds in Britain and Wales, and water visibility is extremely low, due to high amounts of peat in the surrounding soil.

To start, even before we get to explanations and hoaxes, or how such a creature could exist, we have to ask ourselves if it could support itself. There are several large fish species found in Loch Ness, the most common being Atlantic salmon, but brown and sea trout (sea trout are simply marine versions, like steelhead) are also common. The legendary Forex trout (an very large subspecies of brown trout) are deep-dwelling trout very famous for fighting extremely hard, in many ways it is the counterpart for lake trout in North America, to name a few ways in ecological niche, size, and status with fishermen. Also found in the lake are Arctic char, northern pike, yellow perch, European eels, common carp, and several different species of minnows and suckers. There are estimates of fish densities that vary from 1-27 tons, although none consider the large eel populations. So maybe there is enough food for the monster, but we really need a certainly correct estimate. Some sightings have apparently been of Nessie chasing schools of adult salmon or trout that flee to the surface, supporting evidence that it eats trout and salmon, suggesting that the creature is a well-adapted predator.  Also trout and salmon normally do not have any predators in freshwater besides other related species, large pike, lampreys, and humans, none of which would cause adult fish to flee in a school as they are normally solitary and almost invulnerable. So that much is possible. 

However, there are three big problems with the "surviving plesiosaur" theory: Loch Ness is too cold for a cold-blooded reptile, like the plesiosaurs, so they would die quickly. Also, Loch Ness was frozen solid for thousands of years until the end of the last Ice Age about ten thousand years ago. So therefore the only way any exclusively marine animal could enter Loch Ness was from the sea, through the River Ness. So the plesiosaur theory is basically shot down at this point, although that doesn't mean (a) landlocked marine mammal(s) (possibly a juvenile pack or a rapidly evolving species) could have evolved a plesiosaur-like shape through convergent evolution (which is where two unrelated species evolve distinctly similar shapes and/or adaptions due to very similar environments and ecological niches, sometimes examples being millions of years apart-a good example are ichthyosaurs and dolphins). But the last problem deals blows to both the witness' reports and photographs, if Nessie can only be a plesiosaur: New scientific research apparently says plesiosaurs could not lift their heads and necks out of the water swan like. In almost all of the more reliable and clear reports this is how they spotted the cryptid. However, there is still a small chance of the creature and its descriptions being entirely real, even though it is not a plesiosaur.

The "surgeon's photograph" of the Loch Ness monster, from April 19 1934
The famous "Surgeon's Photo" hoax
But there are many easily explained sightings.  For example it has recently been discovered that gray seals enter the lake several times a year, so if they do, perhaps other sea animals can and do as well. Sturgeon are one example. One of the largest freshwater fish in the world, they can grow up to 12 feet long and weigh almost 500 pounds. If they wander into Loch Ness, well, a ten-foot fish is, ah, going to make quite a splash (Sorry. Really bad pun.). The seals were not known to be in the loch, and this would explain some of the sightings. Also, eels may possibly grow to gigantic proportions if left to live long enough. There are large eel populations in Loch Ness, at every depth, so very old and large eels could account for many sightings and even mysterious large radar contacts. But believers ask about photographs. This is relatively questionable, given the famous "Surgeon's Photo" hoax, where famous big-game hunter Marmaduke Wetherell, angry at being hoaxed himself by a hippopotamus-foot umbrella stand (fake tracks) in 1933, connived a very, very convincing hoax with his son and step-son the next year. He used a sculpted wood putty head and neck attached to a toy submarine, with a photo taken by a visiting friend who happened to be a doctor. His friend  did not want his name in the papers, so the photograph was listed as the "Surgeon's Photo". It was finally uncovered 60 years later, when his step-son confessed on his deathbed at age 93 that it had all been a hoax. This was stunning, as it had long been considered the most certain evidence for Nessie's existence. Even today, believers repulse the step-son's confession. But it still remains that there are large, mobile objects, probably animals, in Loch Ness. What do you think? Argue in the comments below.

Thursday, March 15, 2012

Cryptid of the Week: Chupacabra


The chupacabra ("goat sucker" translated literally into English) is a supposedly vampiric creature with several descriptions, although some are very similar to a character in the alien-horror movie Species released in 1995, several weeks before the most notorious sighting, in Puerto Rico in 1995, several more attacks being reported in the next few weeks, although attacks have been reported in the southeastern U.S., Mexico, Central America, parts of Chile, and even Russia and the Philippines. One description, similar to the character in the film, has the chupacabra as a reptilian bipedal creature 3-4 feet tall (about a meter to 1.3 meters) with dark green leathery skin, large fangs, three-fingered clawed hands, no tail, large eyes on a rounded head, and a line of spines or quills running down the spine. It can supposedly hop like a kangaroo, up to 20 feet in one sighting. Another description is very similar but it is dark grey and emits a rank odor. This description does not match any fossils or bodies found, and it is highly unlikely to exist naturally, nothing slightly resembling it at all in the fossil record, of course fueling rumors that it is a government lab-made animal, alien, or an alien's pet. 


 More realistic descriptions are "rat-kangaroo-deer", quadrupeds with naked bodies, rat-like tails, pointed ears, and a canine head. This is most likely the result of wild canines (feral dogs, wolves, coyotes, foxes) with severe cases of mange, which is a state caused by parasitic mites normally found on humans that cause a red itchy rash known as scabies, but is nothing more than mildly annoying. But humans pass the mites on to domestic dogs, which then pass on the mites to wild canines, and the result is much more dramatic, if severe causing all the fur to fall out and weakening the animal greatly, a potentially fatal affliction. This at least accounts for many sightings, as the animals are virtually unrecognizable to a normal person without their fur, at least appearing quite strange. Also, mange can cause a foul smell, making a further case for canids afflicted with mange to be at least partly responsible. 



But what makes the chupacabra so famous are the attacks; mysterious puncture wounds, in either ones, twos, or threes, always on the throat, and some large enough to put a human finger into. These are apparently the cause of death, but what is so mysterious is that the carcasses are never eaten at all, absolutely no mark on the animals besides the puncture wounds. The odd number of punctures is explainable, one canine possibly from shots from farmers trying to kill it or scare it off when it was healthy but nearby livestock, but causing it to have a much harder time hunting, so it goes after domestic animals instead (this has been a proven cause for "cattle killer" jaguars to start attacking livestock-old gunshot wounds, so this could happen with canids). Three is possible if one of the lower canines punctures as well, or if the animal adjusts it's grip. The uneaten bodies are probably results of very weak animals that manage to make an eventually fatal wound, but the chicken or goat escapes for the moment. Also, a kill may have been made and the carcass dragged away unnoticed, as a farmer will likely notice one missing chicken with no small number of live ones and several dead chickens on the floor. The "vampiric" description is from the uneaten carcasses with wounds on the neck, apparently drained of blood (classic vampire behavior), but necropsies (post-mortem examinations) were usually not used, and some bodies have been necropsied, with the conclusion that the chickens had not been "drained" of blood, but the predator had simply cut the jugular or another major artery and the chicken had simply bled out. Also, to finish all this, two last slightly skeptical points:one, a troop of macaque monkeys (they stand upright) could have escaped on Puerto Rico (there were some for testing in 1995) and that the throat is a classic canine target.

Wednesday, March 14, 2012

First post

Hello, this is Debunker11. I know there are thousands of sites and blogs dedicated to cryptids, UFOs, psychics, etc., but not very many are both entirely scientific, unbiased, and with a good supply of jokes as well (Why did the runner quit the race against Bigfoot? He couldn't face defeet!). This site is for scientific explanations for cryptids (yeah, I know all you real biologists are probably laughing), although this is difficult, as crptozoology is considered a pseudoscience. But if you eliminate, without a chance of human mistake, all possibilities but one, then cryptozoology becomes a true science. So you also have to consider all factors, no matter how seemingly insignificant or absurd, to determine the existence of a cryptid. It is quite possible some megafauna cryptids have gone extinct in modern times, but leaving behind a legacy of myth. An excellent example is the Haast's eagle, a giant eagle (thought to be the largest known true raptor known) which went extinct in New Zealand in the 14th century, around the same time human settlers arrived, as they probably hunted the giant flightless moa bird to extinction, which was probably the eagle's main prey. But megafauna cryptids can exist, two famous examples being the okapi (confirmed in 1901) and less known to be a former cryptid, the giant panda, confirmed in 1869. So please, give opinions, post jokes, and consider everything.